Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 4.107489 4.424319 4.764015 5.157060 5.601513 6.091138 6.674952
2025-04-13 3.521645 3.949329 4.437670 5.043259 5.783762 6.672980 7.842636
2025-04-20 3.181931 3.664856 4.240191 4.989217 5.959121 7.203694 8.977275
2025-04-27 3.011938 3.546965 4.207641 5.104942 6.328355 7.998979 10.575526
2025-05-04 2.876206 3.450129 4.180511 5.209330 6.677860 8.801650 12.337956
2025-05-11 2.719939 3.309399 4.077374 5.191008 6.841256 9.346294 13.809539
2025-05-18 2.575804 3.171274 3.962491 5.138576 6.939150 9.793640 15.211299
2025-05-25 2.420641 3.006776 3.797247 4.994707 6.875234 9.961646 16.134145
2025-06-01 2.298119 2.878594 3.672558 4.897431 6.869375 10.219680 17.291184
2025-06-08 2.220951 2.807848 3.623315 4.907476 7.034548 10.797921 19.279900
2025-06-15 2.169445 2.769371 3.616800 4.980772 7.310738 11.623035 22.111291
2025-06-22 2.061857 2.645351 3.476737 4.830482 7.181647 11.642280 22.972919
2025-06-29 1.964308 2.535002 3.356388 4.712172 7.113686 11.808048 24.394068
2025-07-06 1.879444 2.439811 3.254586 4.618225 7.083164 12.055115 26.191383
2025-07-13 1.813038 2.368392 3.184702 4.571457 7.134315 12.487591 28.778175
2025-07-20 1.786628 2.354467 3.202006 4.672774 7.479506 13.654839 34.560209
2025-07-27 1.759559 2.337847 3.213465 4.763989 7.816296 14.889804 41.724713
2025-08-03 1.711448 2.286908 3.167041 4.747991 7.930442 15.593691 47.387331
2025-08-10 1.660471 2.229376 3.106845 4.702182 7.975587 16.126752 52.854893
2025-08-17 1.596667 2.149667 3.006815 4.576324 7.833481 16.109945 55.388327
2025-08-24 1.544539 2.086349 2.931090 4.491088 7.773087 16.321356 59.644104
2025-08-31 1.513460 2.054750 2.906343 4.499895 7.925197 17.206455 69.759536
2025-09-07 1.494318 2.041082 2.910670 4.564121 8.213113 18.606280 87.087153